I doubt doubt your concern, but I get the feeling you are writing about what you've read, from other people writing about what they've read, from other...
For instance, your concern over "mammoth tropical storms". Both history and scientific research tells us to expect less tropical cyclonic activity in a warmer world. In fact, we've see less activity over the most recent decades. (Don't confuse the fact that populations development has dramatically increase during this period in areas commonly hit by storms, resulting in greater monetary loss when a storm hits, with severity. And don't confuse the use of satellites that can locate and categorize even tiny storms out at sea that would never have been detected in the past, with increased frequency.)
And this is what we would expect. Tropical storms are not driven by heat, but be temperature differential--cold air from the poles meeting warm, moisture-laden air from the tropics. In global warming theory, we have "polar amplification"--the poles warm more than the tropics. This result in a smaller temperature differential.
The people pushing for more tropical storms in a warmer world are hurricane experts, they are people who want you to worry about global warming.
Speaking of experts, the Catlin group isn't. Despite having to abort their mission to the North Pole this year due to cold and ice, making it less than half way, their 10-year projection is still getting press because it's so much more spectacular than other pessimistic yet at least plausible projections.
But, the scariest scenarios are the ones that get the headlines. If one group questioned Arctic melt, one said it was possible by 2050-2060, and a third said 2020, we know which we'd be reading about the next morning.
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codehead writes:
I doubt doubt your concern, but I get the feeling you are writing about what you've read, from other people writing about what they've read, from other...
For instance, your concern over "mammoth tropical storms". Both history and scientific research tells us to expect less tropical cyclonic activity in a warmer world. In fact, we've see less activity over the most recent decades. (Don't confuse the fact that populations development has dramatically increase during this period in areas commonly hit by storms, resulting in greater monetary loss when a storm hits, with severity. And don't confuse the use of satellites that can locate and categorize even tiny storms out at sea that would never have been detected in the past, with increased frequency.)
And this is what we would expect. Tropical storms are not driven by heat, but be temperature differential--cold air from the poles meeting warm, moisture-laden air from the tropics. In global warming theory, we have "polar amplification"--the poles warm more than the tropics. This result in a smaller temperature differential.
The people pushing for more tropical storms in a warmer world are hurricane experts, they are people who want you to worry about global warming.
Speaking of experts, the Catlin group isn't. Despite having to abort their mission to the North Pole this year due to cold and ice, making it less than half way, their 10-year projection is still getting press because it's so much more spectacular than other pessimistic yet at least plausible projections.
But, the scariest scenarios are the ones that get the headlines. If one group questioned Arctic melt, one said it was possible by 2050-2060, and a third said 2020, we know which we'd be reading about the next morning.
Share your thoughts
Comments are the sole responsibility of the person posting them. You agree not to post comments that are off topic, defamatory, obscene, abusive, threatening or an invasion of privacy. Violators may be banned. Click here for our full user agreement.