Rain expected all week in Southwest Florida

A window of opportunity exists for a weather system near Mexico to develop tropically during the middle of the week as it begins to drift northeastward toward Florida.

Accuweather

A window of opportunity exists for a weather system near Mexico to develop tropically during the middle of the week as it begins to drift northeastward toward Florida.

ABC7 Meteorologist John Patrick

Photo by ABC7

ABC7 Meteorologist John Patrick

Drenching showers and locally gusty thunderstorms were affecting western Cuba, the Keys and the eastern coastline of Yucatan, Mexico, on Monday midday. By late week, rainfall will gradually propagate northeastward over more of Florida.

Accuweather

Drenching showers and locally gusty thunderstorms were affecting western Cuba, the Keys and the eastern coastline of Yucatan, Mexico, on Monday midday. By late week, rainfall will gradually propagate northeastward over more of Florida.

It’s going to be a wet week in Southwest Florida.

At most just under an inch of rain fell on Monday, with 0.9 inches recorded at the Punta Gorda Airport. Most of the area received a half inch or less in the rain gauge.

The rain Monday, as well as the rain forecast for the rest of the week, is coming at Florida via a tropical area of low pressure developing in the Gulf of Mexico. The Hurricane Center has designated this area of interest as “Invest 91-L.”

Invest 91-L will slowly track to the northeast during the week. By Friday morning, it will end up near the Big Bend area of Florida. Southwest Florida will be on the soggy eastern side of this storm system as it passes by.

Some of our forecast guidance at StormWarn 7 suggests that 91-L may get 35 mph winds, which could make it Tropical Depression 1 later this week. It isn’t expected to develop into a Tropical Storm, but whatever happens our weather forecast doesn’t change much.

Today will be like Monday, with scattered showers possible at just about any point during the day. However, guidance suggests the bulk of the rain may come during the midday, just like Monday, then taper off toward evening.

Invest 91-L will make its closest pass to Southwest Florida Wednesday afternoon through Thursday. That is also the period Southwest Florida can expect the most and heaviest rain in the region.

Forecast guidance is suggesting the possibility of 1- to 2-inch rain totals on Wednesday and additional 2- to 4-inches Thursday. Some localized areas could see up to 6-inches of rain Thursday, so flooding could be possible in some of the poor drainage areas.

As Invest 91-L pulls away from Southwest Florida on Friday, trailing clouds and showers are in the forecast, but in lighter amounts compared to Wednesday and Thursday.

By the weekend, sunshine starts working back into our sky. Onshore, southwesterly winds behind the departing storm will mean a chance for morning showers and thunderstorms, followed by afternoon sunshine. High temperatures will be back near 90 and there will be sky high humidity.

Get my most up to date StormWarn 7 forecast as we go through this rain event with Southwest Florida’s only Doppler radar weeknights on ABC7 News at 5, 6, 7 and 11 p.m. on WZVN-TV. You can also track the storm’s path on StormWarn 7’s Hurricane Tracker at www.abc-7.com.

CLICK HERE for the week’s complete weather forecast

CLICK HERE for the live local interactive weather radar


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